Outperformance In Strong Month, At The Top Again For The Five Year Period

The month of June presented a blockbuster rally in the Indian stock market, both the market Indices NIFTY 50 and BSE Sensex to climb to their all-time highs. The month ended on the back of strong inflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs), robust corporate balance sheets, moderating inflation and growth picking up coupled with expectations of a normal monsoon season, all of which bolstered the sentiment of market participants.

Sameeksha PMS gained 6.5% (net of all fees and expenses), and carved a strong outperformance (alpha) when compared to the benchmark BSE500TRI which gained 4.3%. 

It is worth reviewing key aspects of our performance as summarized below:

 ParticularsSummary of our performance 
1.Fund performance on a Financial Year basis and Calendar
Year basis
  (Refer Table 1 and 2)
Delivered alpha (outperformance over the benchmark1) in six out of eight financial yearsincluding the current incomplete FY 24. Aggregate annual alpha over all the eight financial years ~ 45.3% Delivered alpha (outperformance over the benchmark1) in five out of eight calendar years including the current incomplete CY 23. Aggregate annual alpha over all the eight calendar years ~ 47.6%
2.Aggregate portfolio returns as of June 30, 2023  (Refer Table 3)From inception2 till June 30th 2023, Sameeksha PMS has delivered annualized alpha of 5.6%.For the five year   and three year periods ending 30th June 2023, Sameeksha PMShasdelivered  annualized alpha of 10% and 9% respectively.     
3.Risk Adjusted Ratios: Lower risk, Higher Return (Refer Table 5)Our portfolio beta (0.9) has been lower than the benchmark, and our returns have been higher than the benchmark since inception, implying superior risk adjusted performance
4.Fund performance on a rolling period basis (Refer Table 6, Table 7 and Table 8)Five year rolling period since inceptionAlpha delivered 100% of the time (i.e 28 out of 28 observations)Median alpha ~ 7%Three year rolling period since inceptionAlpha delivered 96% of the time (i.e 49 out of 51 observations)Median alpha ~ 9%  For the rolling five year periods (28 observations), we have been in the Top Quartile and Top Decile 100% of the time. For the rolling three year periods (51 observations), we have been in the Top quartile 92% of time and Top Decile 68% of the time. 
5.Returns of Individual portfolios (Refer Table 9)As Sameeksha PMS does not follow a model portfolio approach, tracking individual client performance becomes more relevant. All the clients with an age of account from six months to seven years have realized annualized        alpha, with an average of 7.2%. Almost 75% of our assets under management can be attributed to clients who have a tenure of over seven years with us
6.PMS Universe rankings (Refer Table 10)Among multicap PMSes with AUM more than INR 100 crs asnof June 30th 2023, Sameeksha is ranked 1st out of 49 funds for five year period and 8th out of 66 PMSes for the three year period as per performance reported to PMS Bazaar.
Further, among multicap PMSes with AUM more than INR 100 crs as of June 30th, 2023, Sameeksha  is ranked 4th out of 122 funds for five year period performance among PMSes that disclose their name and performance on the website of Association of Portfolio Managers of India (APMI)
7.Performance across pre, during and post Covid periods (Refer Table 11)From inception (1st April 2016) till February 29, 2020 (Pre-Covid Period), delivered annualized alpha of 3.1%Between February 29, 2020 and June 30, 2022, (Covid Period) delivered annualized alpha of 8.3%Between June 30, 2022 and June 30 2023, (Post Covid Period) delivered annualized alpha of 9.3%
1. Benchmark is BSE500TRI 2. Inception is 01.04.2016

Three important things must always be kept in mind when looking at performance data. First, for funds such as ours that do not follow model portfolio strategy, the performance of individual clients for different duration is important to look at. Second, some PMSes may be charging fees outside the PMS and hence after fees, performance data may not be comparable to ours. Third, it is important to look at not only portfolio returns but also risk adjusted ratios. We provide data to address all three points later in this note. 

Aggregate Fund Performance On A Financial Year And Calendar Year Basis

For the month of June, Sameeksha PMS has outperformed the benchmark BSE 500 TRI by generating 6.5% returns against the benchmark BSE500TRI returns of 4.3%.  Looking at our performance over the financial years (Table 1), we have outperformed our benchmark in six out of eight financial years (including the current incomplete financial year).  Key however is that the sum of outperformance of 55% in those six years far exceeds the sum of underperformance of 10%  in the remaining two  years. Furthermore, if we are able to sustain the outperformance achieved so far in this financial year for the rest of the year, it will become a streak of five consecutive years of generating alpha. 

Table 1: Absolute and relative performance (Financial Year)
Year ended% Performance
Portfolio (A) 1 2S&P BSE 500 TRI (B)Alpha vs S&P BSE 500 TRI (A-B)
31.03.2024 317.413.24.2
31.03.20234.5(0.9)5.4
31.03.202223.422.31.1
31.03.2021106.378.627.7
31.03.2020(13.0)(26.5)13.5
31.03.20191.49.7(8.3)
31.03.201811.713.2(1.5)
31.03.201728.725.53.2
1. Post Fees and Expenses, 2. Aggregate Portfolio  3. As of 30th June 2023

For the calendar year 2023 till date, we have positioned ourselves well by outperforming the benchmark BSE500 TRI by 9.2%. However, for the completed calendar year 2022, we have underperformed the benchmark BSE500 TRI by 6.8% (Table 2). This can be mainly attributed to the onset of the Ukraine-Russia war at the start of the calendar year and the ensuing global economic crisis. Nonetheless, we have taken corrective actions since then and we hope to have a good calendar year 2023. However, we have outperformed the benchmark in five out of eight calendar years and the sum of outperformance of 64% in five years far exceeds the sum of underperformance of 16%  in the remaining three  years.

Table 2: Absolute and relative performance (Calendar Year)
Year ended% Performance
Portfolio 1 2BSE 500 TRIAlpha vs S&P BSE 500 TRI (A-B)
31.12.2023316.06.89.2
31.12.2022(2.0)4.8-6.8
31.12.202148.231.616.6
31.12.202045.218.426.8
31.12.201919.89.010.8
31.12.2018(9.9)(1.8)-8.1
31.12.201736.037.6-1.6
31.12.201610.09.40.6
1. Post Fees and Expenses, 2. Aggregate Portfolio  3. As of 30th June 2023

It is important to note that we delivered this alpha despite maintaining a median cash level of 13.3% across the eight financial years. Further, our PMS has delivered a substantial aggregate annual alpha of 43% over BSE500 TRI implying average alpha of 5% since inception (Table 3). 

Table 3: Key data on alpha generation over eight2 financial years since inception1
Key IndicesAggregate alpha generated %Average alpha generated%% times alpha generated over 8 FYs
BSE500 TRI45.35.775%
1. Inception Date 1/4/2016 2.. Current financial year upto 30th June 2023

Aggregate Portfolio Returns Over Various Time Periods

It is important to note that we have maintained relatively higher levels of cash (13.3% on average over the entire period from inception) from time to time over the duration of managing the portfolio. Notwithstanding the same, from inception as well as over five and three years respectively, we have generated returns of 20.9%, 24.1% and 35.0% beating the benchmark BSE500 TRI returns of 15.3%, 13.9% and 26.4% respectively after fees and expenses. We have delivered strong returns relative to benchmark across various key time periods. (Table 4).  

Table 4: Portfolio % performance since inception
PeriodPortfolio % 1 2 (A)S&P BSE 500 TRI % (B)Alpha vs BSE500 TRI % (A-B)
Since Inception 3 420.915.35.6
5 Years24.113.910.2
3 Years35.026.48.6
2 Years13.511.71.8
1 Year33.924.09.9
6 Months16.06.89.2
3 Months17.413.24.2
1 Month6.54.32.3
1. Post Fees and Expenses, 2. Aggregate Portfolio , 3. Annualized For more than one year 4. From Inception (1/4/2016) till 30th June 2023

Risk Adjusted Ratios: Not All Returns Are The Same: Higher Returns At Lower Risk  

When compared on a risk-adjusted basis, our PMS shows an even stronger performance with a risk-adjusted alpha generation of 5.6% over the broader market benchmark since its inception. While our portfolio beta has been materially lower than our benchmark, our returns have been higher than the benchmark since inception, implying superior strong risk adjusted returns. 

Furthermore, other risk-adjusted returns – Sharpe ratio and Treynor ratio, are also significantly higher than the benchmark indices (Table 5).

Table 5: Risk-Adjusted Performance Ratios 1
Performance IndicatorsV/s BSE 500
PortfolioIndex
Jensen’s Alpha (x)5.90
Treynor Ratio (x)22.215.9
Sharpe Ratio (x)1.10.9
CAPM Beta(x)0.91
R – Squared (%)0.76100
1. From Inception (1/4/2016) till 30th June 2023

Aggregate Fund Performance And Ranking On A Rolling Period Basis

Rolling returns are a more useful indicator of consistency in performance versus single period returns. For the rolling three year periods applicable to our entire operating history, Sameeksha PMS has delivered aggregate annualized alpha 96% of the times (49 out of 51 observations) ranging from 0.4% to 23%. For the rolling five year periods applicable, Sameeksha PMS has delivered aggregate annualized alpha 100% of the time (28 out of 28 observations) ranging from 5% to 10% (Table 6).

Table 6: Number of times alpha1 generated over rolling five and three year periods
ParticularsRolling Five Year periodsRolling Three Year periods
Number of observations2851
Number of times alpha generated2849
% times alpha generated100%96%
Median annualized alpha7%9%
Maximum annualized alpha10%23%
Minimum annualized alpha5%0.4%
1. For this calculation, alpha is calculated over BSE500 TRI

For the rolling three year periods applicable to our entire operating history, we have been ranked among the multicap universe in the Top Decile 67% of the time (34 out of 51 observations) and in the Top Quartile 92% of the time (47 out of 51 observations). For the remaining 8% observations, we were ranked in the Second Quartile (Tables 7 and 8).  For the rolling five year periods applicable for our entire operating history, we have been ranked among the multicap universe in the Top Decile 100% of the time (28 out of 28 observations). 

Table 7: Decile distribution of our rank within the Multicap PMS universe on a rolling basis since April 2019
ParticularsOne YearThree YearsFive Years
Number of Observations515128
Top Decile 139%67%100%
9th Decile 224%22%0%
8th Decile14%8%0%
7th Decile2%2%0%
6th Decile8%2%0%
5th Decile4%0%0%
4th Decile6%0%0%
3rd Decile4%0%0%
Total100%100%100%
(1). Top Decile = in top 10%,  outperformed 90% of the funds (2). 9th Decile = in top 20%, outperformed 80% of the funds
Table 8: Quartile distribution of our rank within the Multicap PMS universe on a rolling basis since April 2019
ParticularsOne YearThree YearsFive Years
No. of Observations515128
Top Quartile 171%92%100%
2nd Quartile 222%8%0%
3rd Quartile4%0%0%
4th Quartile4%0%0%
Total100%100%100%
1). Top Quartile = in the top 25%, i.e. outperformed 75% of the funds (2) 2nd Quartile = in the top 50% i.e. outperformed 50% of the funds

Returns Of Individual Portfolios 

Because we don’t follow model portfolio strategy, the performance of individual clients is far more important than overall portfolio aggregate returns  (Table 9). For investors who are with us for 3 years and more, Sameeksha PMS has returned a very substantial alpha with an average annualized alpha of approx. 8% for the three year period ending 30th June 2023. Similarly, for investors who are with us for 5 years or more, Sameeksha PMS has returned substantial alpha with an average annualized alpha of approx. 11% for the five year period ending 31st May 2023.  The table below shows the average annualized returns and alpha over different periods of time of all the clients as on 31st June 2023

Table 9: Performance of All Client Portfolios across various duration
Median Age of Accounts 2 3 4Since InceptionFive Years(Benchmark1 Return = 13.9%)2Three Years(Benchmark1 Return = 26.4%) 2Two Years(Benchmark1 Return = 11.7%)2
Average Returns 5Average Benchmark Returns1AlphaAverage Returns 5AlphaAverage Returns 5AlphaAverage Returns 5Alpha
7 Years20.714.76.024.210.334.88.411.1-0.6
6.5 Years20.214.26.124.310.435.18.713.82.1
6 Years19.013.45.724.210.435.08.612.50.8
5.5 Years19.712.77.023.79.933.26.711.6-0.1
5 Years25.413.312.026.212.435.08.614.12.3
4.5 Years27.316.011.234.07.615.03.3
4 Years25.315.210.132.35.910.9-0.8
3.5 Years29.117.311.733.06.612.30.6
3 Years30.925.25.734.37.913.72.0
2.5 Years23.018.14.914.02.3
2 Years11.410.80.512.20.5
1.5 Years14.97.77.2
1 Year23.414.29.1
6 Months13.49.63.8
1.S&P BSE 500 TRI   2. As on 30th June 2023  3. Age of Accounts rounded towards the nearest half year  4. Average rounded to the nearest decimal place.  5.TWRR Post fees and expenses.

Performance Within The PMS Universe

We continue to maintain our top rankings both within the multicap PMS universe as well as the entire PMS universe for key periods of three and five years. The multicap PMS universe rankings are more relevant to us since we follow the multicap strategy.

In the interest of a fair comparison, we present our rankings among those multicap PMSes with AUM more than INR 100 crs. Within this universe, we are 1st out of 49 PMSes for the five year period  and  8th out of 66 PMSes for three year period, highlighting our superior performance over the long term periods (Table 10). Among the multicap universe (considering all AUM), we are consistently ranked in the Top Decile for the five year period for all 28 out of 28 observations reflecting well on the consistency of our performance. 

Table 10: Comparison with PMS Multicap Universe as of 30th June 2023
Fund or Category / Returns Generated 1 21 year (%)2 year (%)3 year (%)5 year (%)
Sameeksha PMS33.913.535.024.0
Multicap Universe
Average
27.111.027.413.7
Decile Rank within the
Multicap Universe
9th Decile7th Decile9th DecileTop Decile
Percentile Rank within
the Multicap Universe
Top 16%Top 30%Top 11%Top 1%
Rank within the Multicap
Universe 
3 4 5 6
13th out of 7723rd out of 748th out of 661st out of 49
1. Post fees and expenses 2. Aggregate Portfolios 3. 77 Funds 4. 74 Funds 5. 66 Funds 6. 49 Funds

Performance Of PMS Over The Covid Timeline (Pre, During, And Post)

The Covid Pandemic induced significant volatility in the equity markets. Hence, it is useful to look at the performance across three time slices : Pre Covid, During Covid and Post Covid. Sameeksha PMS has outperformed the benchmark across all of these three time periods with meaningful alpha (Table 11). This consistency of performance may be an important factor in comparing us with the other funds. 

Table 11: Absolute and Annualised returns1 – Pre, During, and Post Covid
DurationAbsolute Portfolio Returns(%) (A)Absolute BSE500TRI Returns (%) (B)Alpha % (A-B)Annualised Portfolio Returns (%) (C)Annualised BSE500TRI Returns (%) (D)Alpha % (C-D)
01.04.2016 to 29.02.2020 (Pre Covid)67.650.617.014.111.03.1
01.03.2020 to 30.06.2022 (During Covid)76.050.425.627.519.18.3
01.07.2022 to 30.06.2023 (Post Covid)33.223.99.333.223.99.3
1. Post fees and expenses 

Cumulative Performance Versus The Benchmark

Sameeksha’s outperformance over its benchmark has continued to widen positively over the years. An investment of Rs. 100 with us since inception (April 2016) would have grown to Rs. 395, far outpacing what one would have earned by investing in a fund that achieved benchmark returns (Figure 1). 

Analyzing The Sector Performance During The Month

During the month, Sectors that showed growth include Healthcare, Auto & Ancillaries and Infrastructure. For Sameeksha PMS, the Healthcare, Diamond & Jewellery, and  Aviation were outperformers compared to the benchmark. However, due to our lack of exposure towards Auto & Ancillaries we missed out on participating in the upturn. Below is the attribution analysis for the month of June 2023 (Table 12).   

Table 12: Sector Wise Attribution Analysis 1 for the month of June 2023
SectorPortfolio ContributionBenchmark ContributionDifference
Healthcare1.38%0.43%0.95%
Diamond & Jewellery1.02%0.08%0.94%
Aviation0.58%0.02%0.56%
IT0.68%0.17%0.51%
Trading0.27%-0.03%0.30%
Electricals0.28%0.02%0.26%
Retailing0.30%0.10%0.20%
Insurance0.30%0.14%0.16%
Finance0.84%0.71%0.13%
Hospitality0.12%0.00%0.12%
Bank0.38%0.28%0.10%
Capital Goods0.21%0.14%0.07%
Textile0.04%0.02%0.02%
Gas Transmission0.00%-0.02%0.02%
Mining0.00%-0.02%0.02%
Paper0.00%0.00%0.00%
Ratings0.00%0.00%0.00%
Realty0.06%0.07%-0.01%
Logistics0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Abrasives0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Miscellaneous0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Alcohol0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Ship Building0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Media & Entertainment-0.03%-0.02%-0.01%
Diversified0.00%0.01%-0.01%
Non – Ferrous Metals0.00%0.02%-0.02%
Consumer Durables0.00%0.03%-0.03%
Agri0.00%0.03%-0.03%
Construction Materials0.00%0.05%-0.05%
Inds. Gases & Fuels-0.05%0.00%-0.05%
Plastic Products-0.02%0.04%-0.06%
Telecom0.00%0.10%-0.10%
Power0.00%0.11%-0.11%
Chemicals-0.06%0.09%-0.15%
FMCG0.01%0.16%-0.15%
Iron & Steel0.00%0.21%-0.21%
Crude Oil0.00%0.24%-0.24%
Automobile & Ancillaries0.19%0.44%-0.25%
Infrastructure0.00%0.30%-0.30%
1. BSE500TRI

Disclaimer – The information contained in this update is provided by our fund accounting platform and is not audited. 

Among The Most Successful Professionals In Equities; Rated The #1 Technology Sector Analyst In Institutional Investors Polls For A Decade. Highly Respected Among Peers For His Path-Breaking Work And Thought Leadership. Rose From An Associate To Managing Director Within A Span Of Six Years In The Investment Banking Industry

Twenty Years Of Experience Building Top Research Franchises: Seven Years As Managing Director And The Global Head Of Technology At JP Morgan, Six Years As Director And Head Of Asia Pacific Technology At Credit Suisse And Five Years As Founder Of Equirus SecuritiesTrack Record Of Innovation And Excellence In Equity Research

Anchored The Rise Of Credit Suisse  From An Unknown Name In Asian Equities To A Number One Ranked Firm In Asian Equities; Head Of Asia Pacific Tech Research

Credited For Building Top Ranked Global As Well As Asian Tech Research Practice At JP Morgan As MD And Global Head Of Tech Research; Made Defining Contribution To Enable JPMorgan To Move From An Also-Ran Player To A Top Global Name In Equity Research

Built A Very Profitable And Award Winning Indian Equity Business At Equirus From Scratch On A Tiny Budget; Achieved Number Two Ranking In Asia For Idea Performance

Impeccable Track Record Of Identifying True Long Term Winners Ahead Of Others Including Samsung Electronics, TSMC, Infosys And TCS And Guiding Investors To Stay Clear Of Laggards Such As UMC And SMIC Years Ahead Of Consensus.

Mind Of An Engineer, Worked In A Team That Designed The World’s Fastest Microprocessor With A Manta “Paranoia Is The Safest Frame Of Mind”. Awarded Two US Patents.

Work Experience Of Designing The World’s Fastest Microprocessors Based On Cutting Edge Technology For Which He Jointly Holds Two US Patents

Best In Class Business Education From The World Renowned Business School: Double Major In Economics And Finance, Beta Gamma Sigma Cum Laude From The University Of Chicago Booth. Excelled In Studies Under World Renowned Faculty Such As Dr. Raghuram Rajan, Former Governor Of The Reserve Bank Of India